Portfolio Manager comment Coeli Likviditetsstrategi January 2021

Likviditetsstrategi advanced during November with 0.36 percent. Since year-end, the NAV per share has consequently increased by 1.09 percent.

Likviditetsstrategi advanced during January with 0.47 percent. After a strong ending last year, global risk appetite slightly decreased in January, which resulted in minor declines on the leading stock exchanges, with Stockholm as one of the exceptions. In the corporate bond markets, credit spreads generally developed sideways in both the US and Europe, while developments in the Nordics were more favourable with somewhat tighter spreads.

ECB and the Federal Reserve decided to keep their respective policy rates unchanged. Both central banks emphasized that they see near term challenges for the economy and intend to maintain the expansionary monetary policy. The ECB announced that asset purchases could be reduced if the underlying economy so allows, but also readiness to launch more measures if the economic development should deteriorate.

The reporting season has so far offered positive reports from a handful of the issuers represented in the fund. The insurers Tryg and Gjensidige reported their highest underwriting results ever for 2020 and both displayed very solid solvency positions. The real estate company Castellum presented solid figures for the fourth quarter with positive net letting and rent increases in its dominant office segment. Revaluations where significantly positive, partly due a contingent divestment of a portfolio of older logistics properties to Blackstone, and hence boosted the bottom line.

The largest contributor of the month was Golar LNG Partners, whose bonds rose sharply after New Fortress Energy presented a recommended bid for the company. Golar's bonds have been under pressure as the company has faced a major refinancing that has dragged on. If the offer goes through, the buyer intends to repay the bonds immediately.

The credit management company Hoist Finance also made a positive contribution, but without any company-specific news. At the end of the month, the sector colleague Intrum, which is also in the portfolio, presented annual accounts that were slightly better than expected. Intrum reported collections on overdue receivables that exceeded previous forecasts and stated that the return on acquired portfolios currently is significantly higher than a year ago.

Furthermore, shipping-related bonds, such as Ocean Yield and Stolt Nielsen, developed relatively well after lagging the recovery during the second half of last year. The chemical tanker company Stolt Nielsen presented its annual accounts, which showed a healthy decline in leverage. This is despite continued challenging market conditions, which indicates good cost control and discipline regarding capital spending. The outlook for Stolt-Nielsen in the coming year is favourable as the global economy is set to gradually recover. In addition, the company announced that it plans to list Stolt Sea Farm, which conducts land-based fish farming. This is expected to make hidden values visible and strengthen liquidity.

Also, the absolute majority of the fund's interest-bearing holdings made a positive contribution. The only holding that had any noticeable negative impact on earnings was B2 Holding, where the bid / offer spread caused a slight decline after a shift to and increase of the issuer’s FRN maturing in 2022. During the month, bonds from Heimstaden AB were added to the portfolio when the company increased the volume of its bond loan maturing in 2025.

 

Gustav Fransson

Portfolio Manager of Coeli Likviditetsstrategi

 

Alexander Larsson Vahlman

Senior Analyst

 

Fund Overview
Inception Date2010-05-01
Management Fee0 %
Performance FeeYes
Risk category2 of 7

 

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